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Research Blog

August 24, 2018

Every quarter San Diego Regional EDC analyzes key economic indicators that are important to understanding the regional economy and the region’s standing relative to the 25 most populous metropolitan areas in the U.S. This issue covers data from Q2 2018.  

Following seasonal declines in employment during Q1, San Diego, and the overwhelming majority of the most populous metros, experienced an increase in employment during Q2 2018. Welcoming recent graduates and ramping up for the summer season, the region added 16,500 jobs - a 1.1 percent increase in employment during the quarter. Compared to a year ago, nonfarm employment was up 22,500 jobs, or 1.5 percent.

San Diego’s unemployment rate remained below that state and national rates of 4.5 and 4.2 percent, respectively.

Key findings from the snapshot:

  • When compared to its regional neighbors, San Diego’s unemployment rate continued to fare better than both Riverside (4.7 percent) and Los Angeles (4.5 percent).
  • With the summer tourist season approaching, the leisure and hospitality sector recorded the largest quarterly gain, adding 6,300 jobs during Q2.
  • Year-over-year, the region’s median home price continued to climb, growing by 6.6 percent.
  • Compared to the same period a year ago, VC investment in the region has more than doubled. 

The Quarterly Economic Snapshot analyzes key economic indicators that are important to understanding the regional economy and the region’s standing relative to the 25 most populous metropolitan areas in the U.S. This releases includes data from April to June (Q2) 2018.

 

August 17, 2018

Each month the California Employment Development Department (EDD) releases industry data for the prior month. This edition of San Diego’s Economic Pulse covers July 2018 data, including unemployment, new business establishments, and job postings.

Highlights include:

  • Data from the month of July reflect seasonal employment losses. The unemployment rate fell slightly during the month to 3.5 percent after a sharp spike in June.
  • Nonfarm employment fell by 14,400, or 1.0 percent, in July. Compared to year ago, total nonfarm employment is up 21,200, or 1.5 percent.
  • San Diego’s unemployment rate remains well below both the state rate of 4.4 percent and the national rate of 4.1 percent, both of which also saw small declines in July.
  • Nearly every jurisdiction saw declines in its unemployment rate in July. Only Solana Beach experienced no change in its unemployment rate of 1.5 percent.

Read the full Economic Pulse here.


July 20, 2018

Each month the California Employment Development Department (EDD) releases industry data for the prior month. This edition of San Diego’s Economic Pulse covers June 2018 data, including unemployment, new business establishments, and job postings.

Highlights include:

  • The region’s unemployment rose to 3.7 percent in June after several months of record lows.
  • Every jurisdiction saw an increase in the unemployment rate during the month of June. Six cities had increases of a full percentage point. 
  • Labor force grew, adding 5,200 workers during the month, up 0.3 percent. However the labor force is down 2,500 compared to a year ago.
  • Monthly employment trends changes appear to be countering trends of the past year. PST services continue to have the fastest year-over-year growth, up 4.9 percent.

Read the full Economic Pulse here.

 

July 12, 2018

Amid contentious political rhetoric and tightening borders, global trade and investment are top of mind for national leaders and companies alike. To contextualize the importance of such international connectivity, World Trade Center San Diego, with support from the Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies at UC San Diego’s School of Global Policy & Strategy, released “Trade and Competitiveness in North America,” a research summary that quantifies trade and competitiveness in the Cali Baja mega-region, spurred in part by the negotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

“An integrated North American economy creates opportunity on both sides of the border. For every 10 jobs an American multinational creates in Mexico, it creates 25 in the United States,” said Nikia Clarke, Ph.D., executive director, World Trade Center San Diego. “As we look at a global economy where 95 percent of the world consumers live outside of North America, the ways we partner with Canada and Mexico to produce goods, services, and technology is crucial to our economic future.”

With nearly $3.6 billion in trade occurring daily between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and 14 million jobs in the U.S. supported by this trade within North America, NAFTA is one of the most beneficial and significant trade agreements in history – most especially to the Cali Baja mega-region, which includes San Diego County, Imperial County, and the State of Baja California.

Against the backdrop of rapid changes in global production, a newfound ‘trade war’ with China, and renegotiations of trade agreements, Cali Baja’s global competitiveness is dependent on the $2.5 billion co-producing manufacturing supply chain that creates jobs and opportunities on both sides of the border.

KEY STUDY FINDINGS:

  • Cali Baja’s foreign exports total $24.3 billion, of which $6.2 billion stay within the mega-region.
  • Mexico is California’s largest export market, with annual exports totaling $26.8 billion. Today, trade with Mexico supports more than 566,000 jobs in California.
  • Since NAFTA was signed, California exports to Mexico have grown by 311 percent.
  • Cali Baja produces commodities including medical devices, semiconductors, aerospace parts, and audio and video equipment. Together, the mega-region’s manufacturing sector directly employs 418,300 workers.
  • In the U.S., nearly 87 percent of manufacturing job losses from 2000 to 2010 were caused by productivity increases as opposed to the relocation of jobs attributed to trade.
  • More than 51 percent of trade within Cali Baja is in the service sector. These include:
    • $7.6 million in computer systems design and related services
    • $3.5 million in scientific R&D services
    • $2 million in software publishers

“It is clear that the cross border economic relationship plays a critical role in the Cali Baja mega-region in spurring economic growth, advancing technology, and enhancing lives on many levels,” said Melissa Floca, associate director of the Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies, a top policy research center for U.S.-Mexico relations. “These findings underscore the importance of continued cooperation between Mexico and the U.S. to enhance the value we create as a region in services and advanced manufacturing.”

Cross border production sharing has made North America more integrated, more resilient, and more competitive; it has also served to insulate our economies from other global competitors like China. By 2020, however, more than half of all U.S. exports will be in services, not goods. Establishing a robust framework for IP protections, data transfer, and privacy will be essential in ensuring that North America remains competitive in the global economy.

“In the Cali Baja mega-region, we continue to strengthen our binational ties by working closely together to improve economic prosperity on both sides of the border,” said San Diego Mayor Kevin L. Faulconer, who attended the launch event. “We’ve built that strong bond through the exchange of goods and we’re now seeing that expand to high-level services that cross the border thanks to the digital era we live in. This new study proves that free trade is working for our mega-region and why continued collaboration is so important.”

Read the full study here; also available in Spanish here.

For more research from San Diego Regional EDC – World Trade Center San Diego’s parent organization – please visit: sandiegobusiness.org/research-center.

The report was produced by World Trade Center San Diego, with research support from Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies at UC San Diego’s School of Global Policy & Strategy. The research was underwritten by SAMSUNG.